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SA’s reputation takes a knock

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Military rule for South Africa?

3 November 2025 – Why are South Africans supporting military rule? Could the KwaZulu-Natal provincial government fall? What is the impact of foot-and-mouth disease on South Africa’s economy? How did the US and China arrive at a trade truce?
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Military rule for South Africa?

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As the GNU turns one, where’s the growth?

2 June 2025 - What’s the verdict on the GNU as it celebrates its first birthday? Will the GNU last? What does the Auditor-General say about South Africa’s municipalities? What risks are there to South Africa’s sea and air transport? Will the Trump tariffs stay or go?
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Farmer’s beef with agriculture minister

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Farmers' beef with agriculture minister

2 February 2026 — Cuba in Trump’s crosshairs; is SA next? Will SA be included in the one-year AGOA extension? Will Openclaw spur a seminal change in AI? Why did global markets experience a sharp downturn last week?
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The race begins

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The race begins

2 March 2026 — How will a Hill-Lewis lead DA engage with the GNU? Can Motsepe renew the ANC? Did Godongwana deliver a good budget? What is the immediate economic fallout from conflict in the Middle East?
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The world braces for Trump 2.0

6 January 2025 - How will Trump 2.0 reshape global trade and South Africa’s AGOA access? Can the ANC survive municipal woes and internal divisions? Will Transnet reforms get economic growth back on track? Are African debt burdens driving new risks for businesses? Is the US solidifying its lead over China economically?
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(Audio) CRA_Risk_Alert_2025_01_06.mp3

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Corroded steel

13 January 2025 — What does the closing of ArcelorMittal’s long steel plants mean for the economy? What does the ANC’s January 8th statement tell us about the prospects for reform and GNU longevity? How will US and SA economic dynamics play out in the currency market? Where to next for Mozambique?
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Corroded steel

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Budget hits a brick wall

24 February 2025: Does the postponed budget portend the end of the GNU? Can South Africa escape its low-growth trap? Will G20 Summit upgrades fix service delivery issues in Johannesburg? Can the ANC arrest its electoral decline in Gauteng?
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Policy uncertainty hits new high

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Who’s in charge of SA’s defence force?

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The DA challenges race-based laws

27 October 2025 – What makes the DA’s non-racial Economic Inclusion For All Bill significant? How does being removed from the FATF greylist help South Africa’s investment chances? What do falling bond yields tell us about the country’s economic prospects?
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Ramaphosa's GNU lullaby

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US prepares to strike Iran

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Creaking noises from the GNU

29 September 2025 — What does the radio silence between GNU party leaders and President Ramaphosa portend? How confident are South Africa’s consumers? Have SA’s ports managed to become more globally competitive? What are the OECD’s economic growth expectations for 2026? What happens after AGOA expires on Tuesday?
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Ramaphosa’s GNU lullaby

10 November 2025 – Does the GNU have what it takes? Which economic sectors are boosting sentiment in SA? Why is manufacturing struggling? Will loadshedding return? Are US tariffs done for?
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The president and the illusion of leadership

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